Each off-season the NFL landscape changes dramatically with every coaching change across the league. This past season eight NFL head coaches were terminated, while an additional seven NFL teams made changes at offensive coordinator. How does that impact your Fantasy Football plays?
With 46 percent of the league changing offensive systems this off-season, I am going to breakdown each of these new play callers, their tendencies and how it will impact each team this coming season, and how it will impact your Fantasy Football plays.
Detroit Lions Offensive Coordinator- Darrell Bevell
Average Offensive Coordinator Production- (12 Seasons)
Passing:
ATT COMP PCT YDS AVG YDS/G LONG TD TD% INT INT% SACK YDSL 490 307 62.5 3619 7.4 226 70 23 4.7 13 2.7 41 263
Rushing:
ATT YDS AVG LONG 20+ TD YDS/G FUM FUML 1DN 474 2119 4.43 68 13 15 132 8 4 110
Receiving:
REC TAR YDS AVG TD 20+ FUM FUML YAC 1DN 307 490 3619 11.8 23 49 4 2 1598 169
Team Rankings Under Darrell Bevell– 2017-2006
Total Yards:2017-(15th) 2016-(12th) 2015-(4th) 2014-(9th) 2013-(17th) 2012-(17th) 2011-(28th) 2010-(23rd) 2009-(5th) 2008-(17th) 2007-(13th) 2006-(23rd)
Total Points:2017-(11th) 2016-(18th) 2015-(4th) 2014-(10th) 2013-(8th) 2012-(9th) 2011-(23rd) 2010-(29th) 2009-(2nd) 2008-(12th) 2007-(15th) 2006-(26th)
Pass Attempts:2017-(16th) 2016-(18th) 2015-(28th) 2014-(32nd) 2013-(31st) 2012-(32nd) 2011-(25th) 2010-(21st) 2009-(10th) 2008-(28th) 2007-(32nd) 2006-(9th)
Passing Yards:2017-(14th) 2016-(10th) 2015-(20th) 2014-(27th) 2013-(26th) 2012-(27th) 2011-(25th) 2010-(26th) 2009-(8th) 2008-(25th) 2007-(28th) 2006-(18th)
Rush Attempts:2017-(21st) 2016-(20th) 2015-(3rd) 2014-(2nd) 2013-(2nd) 2012-(1st) 2011-(15th) 2010-(12th) 2009-(9th) 2008-(3rd) 2007-(6th) 2006-(17th)
Rushing Yards:2017-(23rd) 2016-(25th) 2015-(3rd) 2014-(1st) 2013-(4th) 2012-(3rd) 2011-(21st) 2010-(10th) 2009-(13th) 2008-(5th) 2007-(1st) 2006-(16th)
Fantasy Football Play Caller Profile:
While Darrell Bevell is one of the more run heavy offensive coordinators, a lot of that was built on the legs of Russell Wilson. I do not believe that he is going to bring that same system with him to Detroit. The scheme that best fits Matthew Stafford and his pocket passing ability is the one that he ran in Minnesota with Brett Farve from 2009-2010.
While they will not be as run heavy as his teams in Seattle were, the mindset of head coach Matt Patricia will be to establish the run and lean heavily on the ground attack this season. In the years in which Bevell has had an elite running back such as Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch his teams averaged 492 carries and rushed for 2,264 yards averaging 15 rushing touchdowns. While I do not view Kerryon Johnson as that type of workhorse back, he should still see 225-275 carries while the team total reaches 450-495 carries this season.